SIGNALHUB
Signal scorecard
Signals have been recorded since Oct 1, 2026. Returns subtract the same-period benchmark (BTC for mainnet, S&P 500 for HIP-3); repeated signals for the same coin and direction within 24 hours count once; excludes fees and funding.
A hit means price moved with the whale's direction after 4h or 24h
Samples · 4h / 24h40 / 37
Benchmark-net hit rate · 4h / 24h42.5% / 54.1%
Average excess return · 4h / 24h−0.3% / −0.3%
Before benchmark: −0.5% / −0.4%
Few samples (4h 9/20, 24h 7/20); for reference only
Samples · 4h / 24h9 / 7
Benchmark-net hit rate · 4h / 24h66.7% / 57.1%
Average excess return · 4h / 24h+0.2% / −0.2%
Before benchmark: +0.1% / −0.4%
A hit means price followed high-win-rate wallets' net flow after 4h or 24h
Few samples (4h 12/20, 24h 10/20); for reference only
Samples · 4h / 24h12 / 10
Benchmark-net hit rate · 4h / 24h33.3% / 40.0%
Average excess return · 4h / 24h−0.4% / −0.0%
Before benchmark: −0.4% / −0.0%
A hit means returns underperformed the HIP-3 benchmark
Few samples (4h 6/20, 24h 6/20); for reference only
Samples · 4h / 24h6 / 6
Benchmark-net hit rate · 4h / 24h50.0% / 50.0%
Average excess return · 4h / 24h+0.0% / +0.2%
Before benchmark: +0.1% / +0.1%
A hit means price moved against the whale crowd after 4h or 24h
Few samples (4h 15/20, 24h 14/20); for reference only
Samples · 4h / 24h15 / 14
Benchmark-net hit rate · 4h / 24h33.3% / 35.7%
Average excess return · 4h / 24h−0.4% / −1.0%
Before benchmark: −0.3% / −1.1%
Few samples (4h 17/20, 24h 15/20); for reference only
Samples · 4h / 24h20 / 18
Benchmark-net hit rate · 4h / 24h58.8% / 46.7%
Average excess return · 4h / 24h+0.1% / +0.4%
Before benchmark: +0.2% / −0.0%
A hit means price moved toward the watched position's liquidation price after 4h or 24h
Samples · 4h / 24h29 / 26
Benchmark-net hit rate · 4h / 24h51.9% / 75.0%
Average excess return · 4h / 24h+0.4% / +0.9%
Before benchmark: +0.5% / +1.0%
Samples · 4h / 24h52 / 51
Benchmark-net hit rate · 4h / 24h66.0% / 43.5%
Average excess return · 4h / 24h+0.2% / −0.2%
Before benchmark: +0.1% / −0.4%
A hit means price moved toward the position's public liquidation price after 4h or 24h
Samples · 4h / 24h27 / 26
Benchmark-net hit rate · 4h / 24h40.7% / 50.0%
Average excess return · 4h / 24h+0.0% / −0.2%
Before benchmark: +0.0% / −0.2%
Mainnet upward surges count as hits when they underperform BTC; downward moves and HIP-3 show absolute movement only
Few samples (4h 7/20, 24h 7/20); for reference only
Samples · 4h / 24h24 / 24
Benchmark-net hit rate · 4h / 24h71.4% / 71.4%
Average excess return · 4h / 24h+1.7% / +0.8%
Before benchmark: +2.2% / +1.0%
HIP-3
No directional predictionSamples · 4h / 24h24 / 22
Average absolute move · 4h / 24h1.9% / 2.5%
Mainnet: a hit is price moving against the paying side (net of the benchmark); HIP-3 shows movement only
Samples · 4h / 24h80 / 78
Benchmark-net hit rate · 4h / 24h55.0% / 71.8%
Average excess return · 4h / 24h+0.1% / +2.1%
Before benchmark: +0.2% / +2.3%
HIP-3
No directional predictionSamples · 4h / 24h105 / 105
Average absolute move · 4h / 24h0.8% / 2.2%
Shows absolute price movement only; it does not predict direction
Mainnet
No directional predictionSamples · 4h / 24h35 / 32
Average absolute move · 4h / 24h2.5% / 7.7%
HIP-3
No directional predictionSamples · 4h / 24h66 / 59
Average absolute move · 4h / 24h1.0% / 1.9%
Shows absolute price movement only; it does not predict direction
Mainnet
No directional predictionFew samples (4h 1/20, 24h 1/20); for reference only
Samples · 4h / 24h1 / 1
Average absolute move · 4h / 24h0.1% / 0.6%
