Fake consensusSP500 ›8d ago

6 whales look bearish on SP500 — but 65.6% is one wallet

Trigger: the false consensus just formed. Without it, the other 5 wallets hold only $8.24M; funding +5.5% annualized.

Price since signal+2.1%7,649 → 7,812 · 8d ago

After 4h / 24h−0.3%24h −0.9%

Funding+0.0006%/hAnnualized +5.5% · Longs pay shorts · Open interest $365.43M · 24h −0.8%

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Event timeline

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What this trader did

No position changes after the signal

Current Short position $16.06M · 20x · unrealized PnL −$1.45M · liquidation 8,304

●Signal at 16:49 · price 7,649

Changes are recorded at scan intervals; multiple fills within one interval are combined

Price after signal7,649 → 7,812+2.1%4h return −0.3%24h return −0.9%

0x0911…129a65.6%0xf141…a01d27.8%0x6921…da215.7%0x31de…13f20.4%0x0c51…fde20.4%Other0.0%

6 whales hold $23.96M in total; the largest holds 65.6%

Trader

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SP500 HFT TraderAuto nickname

Win record · 4.6dNo complete round tripsRealized · 4.6d+$918.21KAll-time PnL+$16.47M

What happened after other coins' Fake consensus signals

Price after 4 hours

No similar signals have completed four hours yet.

Since launch, fewer than 20 similar HIP-3 signals have been measured; the live record is accumulating (15 samples).

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Signals on SP500 within ±24 hours

Price after 4 hours

10/02 12:56Liquidation alertShort position+0.2%10/02 12:38Polymarket odds−2.0%10/02 08:13Fake consensus−0.1%10/02 02:35Fake consensus+0.2%10/01 18:59Polymarket odds+0.1%10/01 18:59Polymarket odds+0.1%

10/01 16:49Fake consensus−0.3%

10/01 15:03Liquidation alertLong position+0.6%10/01 14:35Liquidation alertLong position+0.3%10/01 10:57Fake consensus−0.7%

Signals cover 579 whale wallets in the engine's tracked pool. Profiles use the Hyperliquid fills available to the engine. · Signals use the public Hyperliquid API. Nicknames describe trading style, not identity; profiles and tags are calculated from available fills. · The fill window is truncated; it uses at most the latest 10000 fills.