SOL up 4.9% in 1h — overheated, don't chase

1h volume $40.67M, 4.6× the prior 24h average; open-interest change over the same window +4.3%. Mainnet 60-day backtest: similar surges underperformed the market by 0.9% on average over 24h and did so 63% of the time; however, prices still rose over 10% in about 30% of cases. This is not a reason to short directly.